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بررسی تأثیر فقر بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر در ایران | ||
| اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعه | ||
| مقاله 1، دوره 26، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 101، خرداد 1397، صفحه 1-27 اصل مقاله (312.78 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30490/aead.2018.65197 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| ساسان اسفندیاری1؛ صدیقه نبی ئیان* 2 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی | ||
| 2استادیار بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی | ||
| چکیده | ||
| کشور ایران، به عنوان یک کشور در حال توسعه، خواسته یا ناخواسته با پدیدة فقر و مهاجرت از روستا به شهر روبه روست که از دیدگاه سیاستگذاران از اهمیت بسزایی برخوردار است و میتواند در سیاستگذاریهای توسعهای نقش بسیار مهمی ایفا کند. لذا هدف این مطالعه بررسی تأثیر فقر بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر در ایران برای دورة زمانی 1392-1364 با استفاده از الگوی خودتوضیح با وقفههای توزیعی (ARDL) بود. با توجه به نتایج دست آمده، متغیرهای فقر، نسبت دستمزد شهری به روستایی و اختلاف ضریب جینی روستایی از شهری بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر تأثیر مثبت و معناداری داشتهاند، در حالی که متغیر بهرهوری نیروی کار در بخش کشاورزی از نظر آماری تأثیر منفی و معنادار بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر داشته است. لذا پیشنهاد میشود دولت با اعمال سیاستهایی زمینة کاهش فقر روستایی و کاهش شکاف دستمزد نیروی کار بین شهر و روستا را فراهم کند. طبقهبندی JEL: I32, C22, R23 | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| الگوی خود توضیح با وقفههای توزیعی (ARDL)؛ فقر؛ مهاجرت؛ روستا | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Investigating the Impact of Poverty on the Migration of Rural to Urban Area in Iran | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| sasan esfandiari1؛ S. Nabieian2 | ||
| 1دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد | ||
| 2دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Iran, as a developing country, is intentionally or unintentionally facing with the phenomenon of migration from rural to urban area, which is of great importance from the policy makers' point of view. It can play a very important role in the development of policies, therefore, the aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of poverty on the migration from rural to urban area of Iran for the period of 1985 to 2013 using ARDL model. According to the results, the poverty, the ratio of urban to rural wage and the difference between rural and urban Gini coefficient have significant and positive impact on migration from rural to urban area. While the labor productivity in the agriculture sector have a statistically negative and significant impact on the migration from rural to urban area. Therefore, it is recommended that the government reduce the rural poverty and wage gap between rural and urban area. JEL Classification: I32, C22, R23 | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), Poverty, Emigration, Village | ||
| مراجع | ||
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