| تعداد نشریات | 286 |
| تعداد نشریات سازمان | 84 |
| تعداد شماره‌ها | 3,012 |
| تعداد مقالات | 33,669 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 44,721,396 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 37,692,777 |
بررسی تأثیر فقر بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر در ایران | ||
| اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعه | ||
| مقاله 1، دوره 26، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 101، خرداد 1397، صفحه 1-27 اصل مقاله (312.78 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30490/aead.2018.65197 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| ساسان اسفندیاری1؛ صدیقه نبی ئیان* 2 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی | ||
| 2استادیار بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی | ||
| چکیده | ||
| کشور ایران، به عنوان یک کشور در حال توسعه، خواسته یا ناخواسته با پدیدة فقر و مهاجرت از روستا به شهر روبه روست که از دیدگاه سیاست‌گذاران از اهمیت بسزایی برخوردار است و میتواند در سیاست‌گذاریهای توسعهای نقش بسیار مهمی ایفا کند. لذا هدف این مطالعه بررسی تأثیر فقر بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر در ایران برای دورة زمانی 1392-1364 با استفاده از الگوی خودتوضیح با وقفههای توزیعی (ARDL) بود. با توجه به نتایج دست آمده، متغیرهای فقر، نسبت دستمزد شهری به روستایی و اختلاف ضریب جینی روستایی از شهری بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر تأثیر مثبت و معناداری داشتهاند، در حالی که متغیر بهرهوری نیروی کار در بخش کشاورزی از نظر آماری تأثیر منفی و معنادار بر مهاجرت از روستا به شهر داشته است. لذا پیشنهاد میشود دولت با اعمال سیاستهایی زمینة کاهش فقر روستایی و کاهش شکاف دستمزد نیروی کار بین شهر و روستا را فراهم کند. طبقهبندی JEL: I32, C22, R23 | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| الگوی خود توضیح با وقفههای توزیعی (ARDL)؛ فقر؛ مهاجرت؛ روستا | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Investigating the Impact of Poverty on the Migration of Rural to Urban Area in Iran | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| sasan esfandiari1؛ S. Nabieian2 | ||
| 1دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد | ||
| 2دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Iran, as a developing country, is intentionally or unintentionally facing with the phenomenon of migration from rural to urban area, which is of great importance from the policy makers' point of view. It can play a very important role in the development of policies, therefore, the aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of poverty on the migration from rural to urban area of Iran for the period of 1985 to 2013 using ARDL model. According to the results, the poverty, the ratio of urban to rural wage and the difference between rural and urban Gini coefficient have significant and positive impact on migration from rural to urban area. While the labor productivity in the agriculture sector have a statistically negative and significant impact on the migration from rural to urban area. Therefore, it is recommended that the government reduce the rural poverty and wage gap between rural and urban area. JEL Classification: I32, C22, R23 | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), Poverty, Emigration, Village | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
1. Azimi, N. (2002). Migration from the Village to City, a different look. Urban Management, 3(10): 16-29. (Persian) 2. Bani Asadi, M. and Zare Mehrjardi, M. (2012). Investigating the Effect of Optimal Crop Pattern on Rural Poverty in Orzoeiyeh Section of Baft-Kerman Township. Agricultural Economics, 4 (2): 209-226. (Persian) 3. Bani Asadi, M., Zare Mehrjerdi, M. and Varmazyari, H. (2013). Study of Economic Factors Affecting the Immigration of Villagers in Iran. Agricultural Economics Research, 5 (1): 183-196. (Persian) 4. Chen, Shaohua and Martin Ravallion. (2007). Absolute Poverty Measures for the DevelopingWorld(1981-2004). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4211. 5. Daneshvar Kakhaki, M., Dehghanian, S., Karim Koshteh, H and Golriz Ziaei, Z. (2005). Effect of increasing agricultural productivity on the migration of villagers in Iran. Journal of Agricultural Science and Natural Resources, 10(4): 2-21.(Persian) 6. Fei, C. and Ranis,G. (1961). A theory of economic development. American Economic Review, 51(4): 533-565. 7. Ghatak, S. and Siddiki, J. (2001). The Use of ARDL Approach in Estimating Virtual Exchange Rates in India. Applied Statistics, 28: 573- 588. 8. Goldsmith, PD. Gunjal, K. and Ndarishikanye, B. (2004). Rural-urban migration and agriculture productivity: The case of Senegal. Agricultural Economics, 31(1): 33-45. 9. Harris, JR. and Todaro, MP. (1970). Migration Unemployment and development: Atwo-sector analysis. American Economic review, 60(1):126-138. 10. Islamic Republic of Iran Statistics Center. (2011). (Persian) 11. Jafari Sani, M. and bakhshodeh, M. (2008) Spatial distribution and food insecurity. Agricultural Economics and developmental, 16 (61): 103-124. (Persian) 12. Lewis, WA. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour.Economic Social Study, 22:139-192. 13. Maher, F. (1996). Works of Literacy on Village Migration to the City. Economics and Development Quarterly, 6: 54-57. (Persian) 14. Manavi, M. (2008). Analysis of poverty (Absolute and Subjective) in Kurdistan Province. Master's Thesis, Theoretical Economics, Faculty of Economic & Political Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Tehran. (Persian) 15. Nguyen, L. D., Raabe, K., and Grote, U. (2013). Rural–Urban migration, household vulnerability, and welfare in Vietnam. World Development, 71: 79-93. 16. Pahlaviani, M., Dehmardeh, N. and Hosseini, S.M. (2007). Estimation of export and import demand functions in Iranian economy using convergence method. Economic reviews (quantitative economics), 3 (4): 101- 120. (Persian) 17. Pesaran, M., Shin, Y. and Smith. R. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16 (3): 289-326. 18. Raeis Dana, F. (2005). Measuring indicators and predicting poverty in Iran. Social welfare magazine, 4 (17): 54-86. (Persian) 19. Ranis, G.(1997). Rural-urban migration, surplus of labour. Discussion paper, No 772Yale 20. Razavi, H. (2003). Rural poverty alleviation (experiences of Asian countries). Village Publishing and Development, 52: 45-58. (Persian) 21. Sajadpour, S. (2001). Conceptual and operational framework for international immigration management in Iran. Quarterly Geographic Research, 78: 9-30. (Persian) 22. Sepahvvand, E. (2015). Study of economic factors affecting poverty of rural households in Iran. Master's Thesis, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman. (Persian) 23. Shamsaddini, A. and Gorjian, P. (2010). Effective factors in migrating villagers to cities, emphasizing migration network (case: Rostam-Do Village). Geographic Landscape, 5 (11): 87-105. (Persian) 24. Shirvaniyan, A. (2012). Determination of rural poverty patterns in Iran and studying the effect of food subsidy targeting plan on it: multidimensional poverty approach., PhD thesis, Faculty of Agriculture, Shiraz University. (Persian) 25. Sen, A. (1976). Poverty: An ordinal Approach to Measurement. Econometrica, 44: 219 -231. 26. Teshkini, A. (2005). Applied Econometrics with Microfit. Tehran. Cultural and Art Institute of Dibagaran. (Persian) 27. Zahedi Mazandarani, M. C. (2005). Rural Poverty, Trend and Measurement in Iran. Social Welfare Journal, 4(17): 289-326. (Persian)
| ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 878 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 554 |
||