اخبار و اعلانات

 آمار

تعداد نشریات284
تعداد نشریات سازمان82
تعداد شماره‌ها3,081
تعداد مقالات34,377
تعداد مشاهده مقاله48,038,461
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله78,940,472
فرودی صفات, الهه, گلستانی کرمانی, سودابه, ثمره هاشمی, مرضیه, ذونعمت کرمانی, محمد. (1404). مروری بر دو دهه مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 17(2), 235-255. doi: 10.22092/ijwmse.2024.366749.2077
الهه فرودی صفات; سودابه گلستانی کرمانی; مرضیه ثمره هاشمی; محمد ذونعمت کرمانی. "مروری بر دو دهه مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 17, 2, 1404, 235-255. doi: 10.22092/ijwmse.2024.366749.2077
فرودی صفات, الهه, گلستانی کرمانی, سودابه, ثمره هاشمی, مرضیه, ذونعمت کرمانی, محمد. (1404). 'مروری بر دو دهه مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 17(2), pp. 235-255. doi: 10.22092/ijwmse.2024.366749.2077
فرودی صفات, الهه, گلستانی کرمانی, سودابه, ثمره هاشمی, مرضیه, ذونعمت کرمانی, محمد. مروری بر دو دهه مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1404; 17(2): 235-255. doi: 10.22092/ijwmse.2024.366749.2077

مروری بر دو دهه مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان

مهندسی و مدیریت آبخیز
مقاله 7، دوره 17، شماره 2، تیر 1404، صفحه 235-255    اصل مقاله (655.15 K)
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22092/ijwmse.2024.366749.2077
نویسندگان
الهه فرودی صفات1؛ سودابه گلستانی کرمانی2؛ مرضیه ثمره هاشمی2؛ محمد ذونعمت کرمانی* 3
1دانشجوی دکتری سازه‌های آبی، بخش مهندسی آب، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران
2استادیار، بخش مهندسی آب، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران
3استاد، بخش مهندسی آب، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران
چکیده
چکیده مبسوط
مقدمه
امروزه اثرات ناشی از پدیده تغییر اقلیم در تمامی نقاط کره زمین به چشم می‌خورد که از مهم‌ترین آنها می‌توان به وقوع سیل و خشکسالی­‌های مکرر اشاره کرد. این دو پدیده آثار زیان‌بار فراوانی ازجمله مسائل اقتصادی، اجتماعی و محیط زیستی به همراه دارند. علی‌رغم پدیده سیلاب که در لحظه و با شدت به وقوع می‌پیوندد، پدیده خشکسالی به مرور و تدریجی مناطق را تحت تأثیر قرار می‌دهد. پدیده‌های سیل و خشکسالی در مناطق خشک و نیمه‌خشک ازجمله استان کرمان آثار مخرب بسیاری را به وجود آورده‌اند. لذا، در این پژوهش در قالب یک مطالعه مروری به جمع‌آوری اطلاعات در خصوص سیل و خشکسالی‌های دو دهه اخیر در استان کرمان پرداخته شده است تا از نتایج آنها جهت گذر از این رخدادها بهره گرفته شود.  
  
مواد و روش‌­ها
در پژوهش مروری حاضر، به جمع‌آوری و مطالعه مقالات و گزارش‌های مرتبط با پدیده‌های سیل و خشکسالی در استان کرمان پرداخته شده است که در این خصوص از 49 مقاله فارسی کاربردی موجود (1402-1383 هجری خورشیدی) و نه مقاله انگلیسی (2023-2012 میلادی) بهره برده شد. در یک تقسیم‌­بندی کلی، استان کرمان براساس میانگین طول و عرض جغرافیایی به چهار منطقه تقسیم شد که به‌ترتیب منطقه شمال غرب و جنوب شرق با اختصاص 35 درصد و 34 درصد از استنادات، بیشترین میزان مطالعات را به خود اختصاص دادند و 73 درصد از منابع این پژوهش مربوط به مطالعات خشکسالی در استان است، که نشان‌دهنده قدمت حضور این پدیده در سطح استان است. در این پژوهش، 27 درصد از مطالعات مورد بررسی از پرسشنامه استفاده نمودند و پرکاربردترین نرم‌افزارهای آماری و تحلیلی مورد استفاده به‌ترتیب نرم‌افزار آماری SPSS  با سهم 26 درصد و نرم‌افزار مبتنی بر GIS با سهم 24 درصد بوده‌اند.
 
نتایج و بحث
پدیده‌های سیلاب و خشکسالی در استان کرمان در سال‌های اخیر نسبت به گذشته به لحاظ شدت و تعدد رو به فزونی هستند و نمی‌توان تأثیر آنها بر جامعه را انکار کرد. کاهش ریزش‌های جوی و شروع پدیده خشکسالی در استان کرمان از سال 1377 آغاز شده و همواره با یک روند نوسانی (خشکسالی متوسط تا شدید) در همه نقاط استان دیده می‌شود. به‌عنوان نمونه آمار ثبت شده در سد تنگوئیه سیرجان نشان می‌دهد که متوسط بارندگی این منطقه از 185 میلی‌متر در سال‌های 80-1365 به 158 میلی‌متر در بازه زمانی 95-1380 کاهش یافته است. همچنین، متوسط ورودی به حوضه بین سال‌های 80-1364 حدود 63 میلیون مترمکعب در سال بوده است که در بازه زمانی 95-1380 با کاهش 86 درصد به هشت میلیون مترمکعب رسیده است که ناشی از بروز خشکسالی و همچنین، عدم بهره‌­برداری اصولی از سازه‌­های بالادست سد است. همچنین، آمار ثبت شده از سد جیرفت نیز نشان می‌دهد که متوسط بارندگی در این منطقه بین سال‌های 80-1370، 194 میلی­‌متر بوده و از سال 1380 تا 1395 با کاهش 23 درصد به 150 میلی‌متر رسیده است. متوسط میزان جریان ورودی به حوضه نیز بین سال‌های 80-1370، حدود 680 میلیون مترمکعب در سال بوده است که طی سال‌های 95-1380 با کاهشی معادل 80 درصد به 130 میلیون مترمکعب رسیده است. در خصوص سیلاب‌های رخ داده شده نیز بر اساس آمار ثبت شده در ایستگاه‌های هیدرومتری استان کرمان تعداد 2294 روز سیلابی طی سال­‌های آبی 98-1381 ثبت شده که میانگین بیشترین حجم دبی اندازه­‌گیری شده مربوط به سیلاب روز 1395/11/30 به مقدار 833.33 مترمکعب در روز و دبی اوج 1202 مترمکعب در ساعت در ایستگاه یالخری رودخانه نساء بم است. با توجه به روند افزایشی وقوع پدیده‌های مذکور در سطح استان، در این پژوهش، با مرور مطالعات انجام شده، به بررسی عوامل مؤثر در وقوع، پیامدها و آسیب‌های ناشی از آنها و راهکارهای مدیریتی جهت کاهش مخاطرات سیل و خشکسالی پرداخته شد.
 
نتیجه­‌گیری
جمع‌­بندی نتایج به‌دست آمده نشان می‌­دهد، بیشترین تهدید استان کرمان در خصوص پدیده خشکسالی است که تمام استان از آثار آن رنج می­‌برد. طبق نتایج حاصل، شیب خط روند شاخص خشکسالی بارش-تبخیرتعرق استاندارد شده طی دوره آماری 75-1369 برابر 0.046+ بوده که حاکی از کاهش خشکسالی در استان و در دوره‌های آماری 89-1376 و 1390-97 به‌ترتیب برابر با 0.031- و 0.01- بوده که بیانگر افزایش شدت خشکسالی در سال‌های اخیر است. همچنین، وقوع پدیده‌ سیلاب نیز رو به فزونی است و این پدیده بیشترین خسارات را در کمربند شمال غرب–جنوب شرق استان و در مناطق مرتفع به جا گذاشته است. این دو پدیده آثار بسیار مخربی در زمینه‌های مختلف از خود برجای می‌گذارند که بیشترین آسیب‌ها بر مسائل اجتماعی است و پس از آن، مسائل اقتصادی و زیست محیطی ظاهر می‌شوند. همچنین، باید خاطر نشان کرد که سیلاب و خشکسالی دو پدیده جدا از هم نیستند و باید با یکدیگر مورد بررسی و ارزیابی قرار گیرند تا بتوان مناسب‌ترین راهکارها را برای گذر از آنها ارائه داد. لذا، با توجه به نتایج تأمل برانگیز حاصل از این پژوهش، ارائه یک برنامه‌ریزی دقیق با چشم‌انداز بلندمدت در زمینه مدیریت منابع آب و توجه به تغییر و تحولات بنیادی در قوانین مربوط به آب ضروری است.
کلیدواژه‌ها
آب زیرزمینی؛ تغییر اقلیم؛ تنش آبی؛ مهندسی منابع آب؛ هیدرولوژی
عنوان مقاله [English]
A review of two decades of flood and drought hazards in Kerman Province
نویسندگان [English]
Elaheh Foroudi Sefat1؛ Soudabeh Golestani Kermani2؛ Marzieh Samare Hashemi2؛ Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani3
1Phd Student of Hydraulic Structures, Department of Water Engineering, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, Iran
2Assistant Professor, Department of Water Engineering, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, Iran
3Professor, Department of Water Engineering, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, Iran
چکیده [English]
Extended abstract
Introduction
Nowadays, the effects of climate change are visible across the globe, with frequent flooding and droughts being among the most significant. These two phenomena have many harmful effects, including economic, social, and environmental issues. Despite the flood phenomenon that occurs instantly and intensely, the drought phenomenon gradually affects the regions. Flood and drought phenomena in arid and semi-arid regions, including Kerman Province, have caused many destructive damage. Therefore, this study collects information on floods and droughts over the past two decades in Kerman Province to utilize the results for managing these events.
 
Materials and methods
In the present review research, articles and reports related to flood and drought phenomena in Kerman Province (located in Iran) have been collected and studied, and in this regard, 49 practical articles in Persian (2004‒2024) and nine articles in English (2012‒2023) were analyzed. In a general classification, Kerman Province was divided into four regions based on the average latitude and longitude; respectively, the northwest and southeast regions accounted for 35% and 34% of citations and accounted for the largest amount of studies, and 73% of the sources of this research are related to studies of drought in the province, which shows the age of this phenomenon. In this study, 27% of the studies used questionnaires, and the most widely used statistical and analytical software used were SPSS statistical software with a share of 26% and GIS-based software with a share of 24%, respectively.
 
Results and discussion
Flood and drought phenomena in Kerman Province have been increasing in intensity and frequency in recent years compared to the past, and their impact on society cannot be denied. The reduction of atmospheric precipitation and the onset of drought phenomena in Kerman province began in 1998 and is always seen with a fluctuating trend (moderate to severe drought) in all parts of the province. For example, statistics recorded in the Tanguieh Dam in Sirjan show that the average rainfall in this region has decreased from 185 mm in 1986-1997 to 158 mm in the period 2001-2002. Also, the average inflow to the basin between 2005-2001 was about 63 million cubic meters per year, which decreased by 86% to 8 million cubic meters in the period 2001-2002, which is due to the occurrence of drought and the lack of proper exploitation of the dam's upstream structures. Also, statistics recorded from the Jiroft Dam show that the average rainfall in this region between 1991-2001 was 194 mm, and since 2001-2002 it has decreased by 23% to 150 mm. The average inflow into the basin between 1991-2002 was about 680 million cubic meters per year, which decreased by 80% to 130 million cubic meters during 2001-2002. Regarding the floods that occurred, based on the statistics recorded at the hydrometric stations of Kerman province, 2294 flood days were recorded during the water years 2002-2019, with the average of the highest measured discharge volume related to the flood on 11/30/2016 being 33.833 (m3/day) and the peak discharge (m3/h) being 1202 at the Yalakhari station of the Nisa River in Bam. Considering the increasing trend of the occurrence of the aforementioned phenomena in the province, this research reviewed the studies conducted to examine the factors affecting the occurrence, consequences and damages caused by them, and management strategies to reduce flood and drought risks.
 
Conclusions
The summary of the results shows that the greatest threat to Kerman Province is the phenomenon of drought, from which the entire province suffers. According to the results, the slope of the Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), during the statistical period 1980-1995 was +0.046, indicating a decrease in drought in the province, and in the statistical periods 1997-2000 and 2001-2011, it was -0.031 and -0.01, respectively, indicating an increase in the severity of drought in recent years. The occurrence of floods is also increasing, and this phenomenon has caused the most damage in the northwest-southeast belt of the province and in the highlands. These two phenomena leave very destructive effects in various fields, with the greatest damage being on social issues, followed by economic and environmental issues. It should also be noted that floods and droughts are not two separate phenomena and must be examined and evaluated together in order to provide the most appropriate solutions to overcome them. Therefore, given the thought-provoking results of this research, it is necessary to provide detailed planning with a long-term perspective in the field of water resources management and to pay attention to fundamental changes and developments in water-related laws.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
Climate change, Groundwater, Hydrology, Water resources engineering, Water stress
مراجع

Abaspoor, E., Hassanzadeh, R., Hossinjanizadeh, M., Nassiri, M., 2023. Flood risk zonation using AHP and Fuzzy Logic methods in Sarcheshmeh copper complex. Phys. Geogr. 58(), 47-19 (in Persian).

Abazeri, M., 2023. Strengthening participatory governance to adapt and other sociocultural responses to climate change impacts among farming communities in Kerman, Iran. Routledge Handbook of Climate Change Impacts on Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities, 1st Edition, London (in Persian).

Abedini, M., Fathi Jokadan, R., 2016. Flood risk zoning in the Karganroud’s catchment basin using ArcGIS. Hydrogeol. J. 3(7), 1-17 (in Persian).

Ahmadyousefi, R., Choobchian, S., Chizari, M., 2021. Investigating the implementation of drought crisis management programs in Kerman Province. Emerg. Manage. 10(2), 157-166 (in Persian).

Ahmadyousefi, R., Choobchian, S., Chizari, M., 2017. investigating the deployment status of knowledge management components to develop the drought crisis management plans, with the viewpoint of agricultural beneficiaries in Kerman Province. Knowl. Retr. Semant. Syst. 4(11), 21-40 (in Persian).

Ahmadyousefi. R., Choobchian. Sh., Chizari. M., Azadi. H., 2020. The role of knowledge management in the development of drought crisis management programmes. KMRP. 20(2), 177-190.

Akbari Jor, A., Abkar, A., Moslemi, H., 2020. Effect of aquifer management on some soil properties (case study: Meymand Station, Kerman Province). Hydrogeol. 5(2), 75-87 (in Persian).

Amiranipur, M., najafzadeh, M., Mohamadi, S., 2021. Forecasting drought situation by standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index and artificial intelligence models (case study: Kerman Synoptic Station). JMAS. 4(3), 260-271 (in Persian).

Azizabadi, E., Mahkouei, H., Gandomkar, A., 2023. Analyzing effective strategies to reduce water shortage in Kerman Province. JGRP, 13(51), 107-124 (in Persian).

Bagheri, H., Rafei, F., 2023. Identification of suitable agricultural cultivation locations using a GIS-AHP system based in the Sirjan plain. Sustain. Agric. Res. 3, 98-118 (in Persian).

Bagheri, R., Mohammadi, S., 2012. Investigation on spatial variations of drought using geostatistics in Kerman province over a thirty-year period (1970- 2000). IJRDR. 19(2), 283-296 (in Persian)

Bakhtiari, A., 2019. Climatic comfort and agricultural drought indices application in determination of agritourism destinations in Kerman Province. J. Agric. Meteorol. 6(2), 71-79 (in Persian).

Barkhori, S., Dolatkordestani, M., Javaheri, K., 2024. Drought induced vegetation changes in south of Kerman Province. IWM. (in Persian).

Beheshtirad, M., 2015. Investigation spatial variation of drought using geostatistics methods and Z Index in Kerman Province. IWE. 5(4), 118-130 (in Persian).

Boraeinezhad, B., Sayari, N., Rahnama, M.B., Golestani Kermani, S., 2020. Drought monitoring of Rafsanjani Plain under climate change conditions. Nivar. 44(110-111), 83-97 (in Persian).

Boudaghpour, S., Bagheri, M., Bagheri, Z., 2014. Estimation of flood environmental effects using flood zone mapping techniques in Halilrood Kerman, Iran. J. Environ. Health Sci. Eng. 12(153), 2-18.

Buzhani, F.I., Sadr, M.K., Sobhanardakani, S., Lorestani, B., Cheraghi, M., 2024. Remote sensing assessment of multi-year drought vulnerability of agriculture in Kangavar, Kermanshah Province, Western Iran. Nat. Hazards. 120, 3865-3890.

Carrão, H., Naumann,G., Barbosa, P., 2016. Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Global Environ. Change. 39, 108–124.

Dehghani, M., Khalifeh, S., Ebrahim Zadeh, A., 2024. Assessment of water wastage, cost of energy consumption in rural transmission and distribution networks of Kerman Province (case study: Chah Regan village complex, Fahraj city. The 16th National Conference on Irrigation and Evaporation Reduction. Kerman, Iran (in Persian).

Delavar, S., Anvari, S., Najafzadeh, M., Fathian, F., 2024. A review of stationary and non-stationary indices for drought monitoring in Iran and other Countries. Irrig. Water Eng. 14(3), 175-193 (in Persian).

Delavar, S., Anvari, S., Najafzadeh, M., Fathian, F., 2024. Investigating the impact of climate change and human activities on drought instability. The 16th National Conference on Irrigation and Evaporation Reduction. Kerman, Iran (in Persian).

Delfiyan, F., Yazdanpanah, M., Forouzani M., Yaghoubi, J., 2021. Farmers' adaptation to drought risk through farm–level decisions: the case of farmers in Dehloran county, Southwest of Iran, Clim Dev. 13(2), 152-163.

Ebrahimi-Khusfi, Z., Ebrahimi-Khusfi, M., Mirakbari, M., Soleimani-Sardoo, M., 2022. Investigating the impact of drought on dust events in Kerman Province using meteorological and satellite data. J. Arid Biome. 11(2), 133-151 (in Persian).

Ebrahimi-Khusfi, Z., Mirakbari, M., Ebrahimi-Khusfi, M., Soleimani-Sardoo, M., 2022. Evaluation of drought temporal changes using Mann-Kendall test and Sena's Slope in Kerman Province for the Period 1990 to 2018. DEEJ. 11(36), 1-16 (in Persian).

Ekhlasi, M. S., Soltani -Gerdefaramarzi, S., Azizian, A., Gheysouri, M., 2025. Investigating the effects of climate change on the virtual water of some crops in Kerman Province. Appl. Res. Geogr. Sci. 76(25), 210-227.

Eskandari Damaneh, H., Zehtabian, GH., Khosravi, H., Azareh, A., 2015. Analysis of temporal and spatial relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought in Tehran Province. J. Manag. Stud. 24(96), 113-120 (in Persian).

Fatehi Marj, A., Tajaddini, M., Salajagheh, A., 2015. Study of the relationship between the some climate signals (SOI, NAO, MEI, NINO) and meteorological drought in Kerman Province, Iran. J. Agric. Meteorol. 3(1), 25-39 (in Persian).

Ghahari, Gh., Gandomkar, A., 2015. Effect of aquifer management on groundwater changes in Gareh Bygone Plain. J. Watershed Manag. Res. 7(2), 172-183 (in Persian).

Gharakhani, M., Aghamohammadi, H., Vahidnia, M.H., 2022. Flood hazard zonation using spatial hydrologic analysis in GIS and interpretation of satellite images: a case study on Aharchay Catchment. JSDE. 3(2), 67-86 (in Persian).

Ghavidel Rahimi, Y., Ahmadi, M., Hatami Zarneh, D., Rezaie, M., 2014. Identification of synoptic patterns of heavy rainfall manufacturers destructive floods in Jiroft city. J. Geogr. 12(41), 161-178 (in Persian).

Hassanzadeh, R., Honarmand, M., Hossinjanizadeh, M., Mohammadi, S., 2021. Flood zoning in urban areas using hydrological modelling and survey data: case study of Bardsir city, Kerman Province. IJE. 8(2), 331-344 (in Persian).

Hejazizadeh, Z., Nasserzadeh, M.H., Hatami, D., Rezaey, M., 2014. Application of statistical methods and drought indices in analyzing fluctuations in precipitation case study: Kerman station. JARGS. 5(17), 35-51.

Heydarvand, M., Estelaji, A., Asadian, F., 2024. Investigating the dimensions of local resilience in the face of drought, case study: Qaleganj City, Kerman Province. HRE. 43(185), 3-12 (in Persian).

Javadinejad, S., 2022. Causes and consequences of floods: flash floods, urban floods, river floods and coastal floods. REIE. 4(1), 173-183.

Kazemi, R., 2022. Investigation of regional flood intensity in homogeneous basins of Kerman Province, Iran. JWHR. 5(1), 31-39.

Kazemi, R., Porhemmat, J., Sharifi, F., 2020. Recognition and analysis of surface water resources capacity, prerequisite of land use planning in the province of Kerman. J. Watershed Manag. Res. 33(2), 2-19 (in Persian).

Kerman Regional Water Company, 2023. Announcement banning the extraction of water sources in Kerman Province (in Persian).

Kerman Regional Water Company, 2023. Nationwide statistics of underground water sources in the study areas of Kerman Province (in Persian).

Khademipour, G., Saberi Anari, S.M., Nekoyi Moghadam, M., Masoudi, A., Jafari Baghini, R., 2018. Comprehensive assessment and zonation of drought risk and vulnerability in Kerman Province. HDQ. 3 (2), 113-120.

Khayyat Hosseini, S.M., Salarpour, M., 2022. Investigating the effective factors on drought risk management on farmers' livelihood in order to maintain the stability of natural resources in Kerman Province. J. Environ. Sci. 7(1), 4706-4715 (in Persian).

Madanchi, P., Shahedi, K., Habibnejad, M., Soleymani, K., Fatehi Marj, A., 2020. Zoning Climatic Drought and Drought Magnitude Using SPI Index and Kirijing Geostatistical Method (case study: Kerman Province). Irrig. Water Eng. 10(38 ), 203-226 (in Persian).

Mangeli Meydook, A., Afifi, M.E., Vakhshoori, A., 2020. Environmental sustainability assessment with emphasis on drought and water resources using multi-criteria artificial neural network technology (case study of Babak city). Phys. Geogr. 12 (48), 105-127 (in Persian).

Mazidi, A., Bahaaddinbeygi, H., 2021. Study of temperature, precipitation and wind speed trends in the northern and western regions of Kerman province using parametric and non-parametric tests. GAHR. 4(2), 246-254 (in Persian).

Mazidi, A., Enayatpour, M., Hosseini, S.S., 2021. Climate determination of Kerman Province using ambrothermic curve methods, Domarten drought coefficient, Amberjeh climate view. GAHR. 4(2), 35-43 (in Persian).

Mazidi, A., Mohammadi Ravari, F., Behzadi Shar Babak, Z., 2023. Assessment of the drought situation in Kerman using drought indicators and its relationship with the state of vegetation change in the region. Nivar. 47(120-121), 166-180 (in Persian).

Mehdi Pour, A., Toghroli, N., Ghaem Maghami, Sh., 2008. Evaluation and effectiveness of watershed operation, case study: Lalezar earthen dam located in Kerman Province. The
4th National Conference on Watershed Management Science and Engineering of Iran Watershed Management. Kerman, Iran (in Persian).

Memarzadeh Kiani, A., Poursina, M., Tajpour, A., Rezaeian, S., Bajestani Moghadam, G., 2024. Investigating the impact of climate change on wildlife habitats using GIS remote sensing (study area: Khabar national park, Kerman Province). JNE. 76 (Special Issue Protected Areas), 291-306 (in Persian).

Mijani, K., Ghaem Maghami, Sh., Amini Zadeh, M.R., 2005. Floods and damages caused by them in Kerman province. 2nd National Conference on Watershed Management and Soil and Water Resources Management. Kerman. Iran (in Persian).

Ministry of Agricultural Jihad, 2014. Agricultural research, education and promotion organization, drought in the south of Kerman Province and strategies to deal with it.

Mishra, A.K., Singh, V.P., 2011. Drought modeling: A review. J. Hydrol. 403, 157-175.

Mirkamandar, B., Rahnama, M.B., Zounemat Kermani, M., 2023. Quantitative and qualitative assessment and identification of pollution sources of Kerman plain aquifer. The 16th National Conference on Irrigation and Evaporation Reduction. Kerman. Iran (in Persian).

Mobin, M.H., Zarei, Z., Sodayizadeh, H., 2019. Investigating and evaluating some of the characteristics of severity of climatic droughts in Kerman and Shiraz meteorological stations. JNEH. 8(19), 103-122 (in Persian).

Moghimi, M.M. Zarei, A.R. Mahmoudi, M.R., 2020. JWCC. 11 (3), 633-654. DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2019.009.

Mohammadi Sardoo, A., Yazdan Panah, N., Hoseini, Z.S., 2023. Physical and economic efficiency of water consumption (case study: Faryab city). The 16th National Conference on Irrigation and Evaporation Reduction. Kerman. Iran (in Persian).

Mohammadi, A., Golestani Kermani, S., Samareh Hashem, M., Bakhtiari, B., Asadi, Y., 2023. Strategies to reduce flood risks using SWOT analysis method. The 18th National Conference of Iran Watershed Science and Engineering, Kashan, Iran (in Persian).

Mohammadi, S., Naseri, F., Nazaripour, H., 2018. Investigating the temporal variation and meteorological drought effect on groundwater resources in Kerman plain using SPI and GRI indices. Ecohydrol. 5(1), 11-22 (in Persian).

Mohseni, M., Kadkhoda Dehnoie, F., 2023. Investigating the relationship between drought index and underground water changes with the water level of Jazmurian lagoon. The 16th National Conference on Irrigation and Evaporation Reduction. Kerman. Iran (in Persian).

Mohseni, S., Zare Mehrjerdi, M.R., Abdollahi, M., Mehrabii Boshr Abadi, H., 2023. Agricultural Water Pricing Under Conditions of Uncertainty (case study: Rafsanjan-Anar plain). Irrig. Water Eng. 13(4), 329-346 (in Persian)

Noubakht, R., Ghasemi, A., Gholami, M., 2018. Economic-demographic consequences drought in Eastern Iran. JGRP. 7(29), 313-327 (in Persian).

Omidvar, K., Mahmodabadi, M., Shams, P., Amiri Esfandegheh, M., 2020. Analysis of the effects of anticyclone movements on flood rainfall in Kerman Province. J. Spatial Anal. Environ. Hazards. 7 (3), 163-178 (in Persian).

Parvazi, M., 2019. Studying the draughts in kerman using four indices, namely TOPSIS, SPI, PNPI and Z. J. Geogr. Sci. 15(29), 92-113 (in Persian).

Pourjoopary, M., Tayebnia, S.H., Paydar, A., 2024. Analysis of the effectiveness of ecotourism development in empowering the economy in the rural areas. JARGS. 15(55), 70-43 (in Persian).

Rafiei-Sardooi, E., Mohseni-Saravi, M., Barkhori, S., Azareh, A., Choubin, B., Jafari-Shalamzar, M., 2018. Drought modeling: a comparative study between time series and neuro-fuzzy approaches. Arab. J. Geosci. 11(17), 487.

Rahimi, A., BeigAli, S., 2024. Investigating the causes of drought in Kerman Province or the use of DI index and the role of local communities in dealing with drought. 14th International Conference on Management and Human Sciences in Iran, Tehran (in Persian).

Rahmani, F., Fattahi, M.H., 2024. Investigation of alterations in droughts and floods patterns induced by climate change. Acta Geophys. 72, 405-418.

Rahnema, H.,  Mirassi, S., 2014. Crisis management concerning underground water falling and land subsidence occurrence in the plains of Iran. Adv. Environ. Biol. 8(5), 1453-1465.

Rezaei Kalantari, M., 2011. Investigation of meteorological and hydrological drought in the east of Mazandaran province and its effect on underground water resources. Master Thesis.  Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources (in Persian).

Saei, M., Darvishi zeydabadi, D., 2023. Economic evaluation of medicinal plant cultivation in Kerman City. J. Hortic. Sci. 1(2), 291-304 (in Persian).

Salari, M., Tayebiyan, A., 2010. Determining the rate of drought meteorological and hydrological condition in Kerman province. J. Environ. Geol. 3 (9), 31-42 (in Persian).

Salehi Nodez, A., Yaghoubi, N.M., Keikha, A., 2022. The effect of community-based crisis management on the resilience to disasters with the mediating role of social capital. IJHCUM. 7(2), 205-216.

Sarhadi, A., Soltani, S., Modarres, R., 2012. Probabilistic flood inundation mapping of ungauged rivers: Linking GIS techniques and frequency analysis. J. Hydrol. 458–459, 68-86.

Sarreshtehdari, A., 2004. Effects of flood spreading plan on soil permeability and fertility. Pajouhesh va Sazandegi, 17(1), 83-92 (in Persian).

Savari, M., Eskandari Damaneh, H., 2019. The role of participatory management in empowering local communities in coping with droughts in southern Kerman Province. J. Spatial Plann. 23 (2), 123-171 (in Persian).

Savari, M., Eskandari Damaneh, H., Eskandari Damaneh, H., 2021. Factors influencing farmers’ management behaviors toward coping with drought: evidence from Iran. JEPM. 64(11), 2021–2046.

Sayers, P.B., Yuanyuan, L., Moncrieff, C., Jianqiang, L., Tickner, D., Gang, L., Speed, R., 2017. Strategic drought risk management: eight ‘golden rules’ to guide a sound approach. JRBM. 15(2), 239-255.

Seddighi, H., Seddighi, S., 2020. How much the Iranian government spent on disasters in the last 100 years? A critical policy analysis. Cost Eff. Res. Allocation. 18(46), 1-11.

Sedigh, N., Hashemidaran, H., Chalajour, M., 2023. Economic vulnerability originating from climate change in agriculture sector in the south of Kerman Province of Iran using ricardian model: a case study of wheat. J. Agric. Econ. Dev. 31(2), 75-110 (in Persian).

Shahidasht, A., Abbasnejad, A., 2010. Evaluation of the environmental impacts of aquifer depletion in Jiroft Plain and prediction of the future status. J. Water Resour. Res. 7(1), 77-81 (in Persian).

Shahrokhi Sardoo, Z., Zare, M., Mirmohammady Maibody, S.A.M., Rahimian, M. H., Arabi Aliabad, F., 2019. The Effect of drought on surface water quality of the Halil-Rood Basin, Kerman. JWSS. 23(3), 367-380 (in Persian).

Smit, B., Skinner, M., 2002. Adaptation options in agriculture to climate change: a typology. Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Glob. Chang. 7, 85-114.

Soleimani Sardo, F., 2015. Probable maximum precipitation and probable maximum flood extent analysis using L-moment and Hershfeild methods (case study of Jiroft Dam). JGRP. 5(20), 101-114 (in Persian).

Sobhani nasab, Y., 2009. Environmental and socio-economic effects of drought. Regional Conference on Water Crisis and Drought. Islamic Azad University of Rasht (in Persian).

Soltaninezhad, M., Mehrabi, A.A., Ahmadi, H., 2022. Economic and effectiveness evaluation of watershed management measures by quantitative and qualitative methods in Manojan, Kerman. J. Watershed Manag. Res. 35(2), 60-70 (in Persian).

Tavakoli, M., Eftekhari, A.R.R., Jafari Sirizi, M., 2023. Analysis of resilience of rural farmers in the direction of drought management Case study: Farmers of Siriz Rural District in Kerman Province. J. Spatial Plann. 27(1), 64-102 (in Persian).

UNDP, 2012. Drought risk management: practitioner's perspectives from Africa and Asia. United Nations Development Programme.

UNESCO, 2010. Managing disaster risks for world heritage. United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization.

World Meteorological Organization (WMO), 2021. Atlas of mortality and economic losses from weather, climate and water extremes (1970–2019).

Yamani, M., Enayati, M., 2006. The relationship between the geomorphological features of the basins and flood potential (analysis of flood data through the geomorphological comparison of Fashand and Behjatabad Basins). Geogr. Res. 38(3), 47-57 (in Persian).

آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 665
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 148


counter
سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. طراحی و پیاده سازی از سیناوب