اخبار و اعلانات

 آمار

تعداد نشریات282
تعداد نشریات سازمان80
تعداد شماره‌ها3,168
تعداد مقالات35,197
تعداد مشاهده مقاله50,932,547
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله90,938,096
Mousavi, Sayed Ali, rostampour, fatemeh, rashidi, hadi, Sattarnezhad, Lida. (1404). Epidemiology and time series analysis of snakebite incidence in Southwestern Iran (Shoushtar) 2017-2022. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 80(2), 463-470. doi: 10.32592/ARI.2025.80.2.463
Sayed Ali Mousavi; fatemeh rostampour; hadi rashidi; Lida Sattarnezhad. "Epidemiology and time series analysis of snakebite incidence in Southwestern Iran (Shoushtar) 2017-2022". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 80, 2, 1404, 463-470. doi: 10.32592/ARI.2025.80.2.463
Mousavi, Sayed Ali, rostampour, fatemeh, rashidi, hadi, Sattarnezhad, Lida. (1404). 'Epidemiology and time series analysis of snakebite incidence in Southwestern Iran (Shoushtar) 2017-2022', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 80(2), pp. 463-470. doi: 10.32592/ARI.2025.80.2.463
Mousavi, Sayed Ali, rostampour, fatemeh, rashidi, hadi, Sattarnezhad, Lida. Epidemiology and time series analysis of snakebite incidence in Southwestern Iran (Shoushtar) 2017-2022. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1404; 80(2): 463-470. doi: 10.32592/ARI.2025.80.2.463

Epidemiology and time series analysis of snakebite incidence in Southwestern Iran (Shoushtar) 2017-2022

Archives of Razi Institute
مقاله 21، دوره 80، شماره 2، خرداد و تیر 2025، صفحه 463-470    اصل مقاله (667.12 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Articles
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.32592/ARI.2025.80.2.463
نویسندگان
Sayed Ali Mousavi1؛ fatemeh rostampour* 2؛ hadi rashidi3؛ Lida Sattarnezhad4
1Department of Public Health, Shoushtar Faculty of Medical Science, Shoushtar, Iran
2Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
3MSc in Epidemiology, Department of Epidemiology & Biostatics, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia.
4Department of Prevention Communicable Diseases, University of Medical Sciences.
چکیده
Snakebite incidents are a serious concern. approximately 5.4 million snakebite incidents occur worldwide annually, resulting in 125,000 deaths. This study focused on epidemiological surveys and modeling the time series data of snakebites in Shoushtar City from 2017 to 2022. This study recorded data on 396 individuals who experienced snakebite incidents during the research period. Time series analysis in the medical field involves studying and analyzing data collected over time to identify patterns, trends, and relationships. Time series analysis and appropriate models were used to forecast the trend of cases for future months using BOX-Jenkins models. Findings revealed that the majority of snakebites occurred in men and rural areas. The trend remained constant until the end of 2019, and from the last months of 2019 to the end of 2020, it exhibited an increasing trend (during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic). The data had a seasonal trend, with the highest occurrences in hot seasons and the lowest occurrences in cold seasons. The age groups of 25-44 years and 10-24 years constituted the largest portion of the victims. The most frequently affected body parts were the foot (58.8%) and hand (38.8%). The majority of individuals sought treatment without delay. The best-fitting model for the available data was a seasonal ARIMA model in the form of ARIMA (0,0,0) (1,0,1)12. Forecasting was carried out for the next 6 months using the selected model, suggesting a decrease in snakebite cases compared to previous periods. Overall, time series analysis in the medical field is crucial in improving patient care, enhancing public health strategies, and advancing medical research. It can also aid in resource allocation and healthcare planning.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Epidemiology؛ Snake Bites؛ Time Series؛ Box Jenkins؛ Southwestern Iran
سایر فایل های مرتبط با مقاله
مراجع
  1. Dehghani R, Dadpour B, Mehrpour O. Epidemiological profile of snakebite in Iran, 2009-2010 based on information of Ministry of Health and Medical Education. International journal of medical toxicology and forensic medicine. 2014;4(2):33-41.
  2. Kasturiratne A, Lalloo DG, de Silva HJ. Chronic health effects and cost of snakebite. Toxicon: X. 2021;9:100074.
  3. Hasson S, Al-Jabri A, Sallam T, Al-Balushi M, Mothana R. Antisnake Venom Activity of Hibiscus aethiopicus L. againstEchis ocellatus and Naja n. nigricollis. Journal of toxicology. 2010;2010(1):837864.
  4. Patra A, Mukherjee AK. Assessment of snakebite burdens, clinical features of envenomation, and strategies to improve snakebite management in Vietnam. Acta tropica. 2021;216:105833.
  5. Bhaumik S, Beri D, Jagnoor J. The impact of climate change on the burden of snakebite: Evidence synthesis and implications for primary healthcare. Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care. 2022;11(10):6147-58.
  6. Bawaskar HS, Bawaskar PH, Bawaskar PH. The global burden of snake bite envenoming. SAGE Publications Sage UK: London, England; 2021. p. 7-8.
  7. Chippaux J-P. Snakebite envenomation turns again into a neglected tropical disease! Journal of venomous animals and toxins including tropical diseases. 2017;23:38.
  8. Seifert SA, Armitage JO, Sanchez EE. Snake envenomation. New England Journal of Medicine. 2022;386(1):68-78.
  9. Nejadrahim R, Sahranavard M, Aminizadeh A, Delirrad M. Snake envenomation in North-West Iran: A three-year clinical study. International Journal of Medical Toxicology and Forensic Medicine. 2019;9(1):31-8.
  10. Kassiri H, Dehghani R, Khodkar I, Ahmad FA, Kassiri A. Epidemiological profile of venomous animal bites and stings (A neglected problem) in the north of Sistan-Baluchistan province, South-Eastern Iran. Journal of Entomological Research. 2022;46(4):917-21.
  11. Knudsen C, Jürgensen JA, Føns S, Haack AM, Friis RU, Dam SH, et al. Snakebite envenoming diagnosis and diagnostics. Frontiers in immunology. 2021;12:661457.
  12. Global mortality of snakebite envenoming between 1990 and 2019. Nature Communications. 2022;13(1):6160.
  13. Chippaux JP. Snake-bites: appraisal of the global situation. Bulletin of the World Health organization. 1998;76(5):515.
  14. Brunda G, Sashidhar R. Epidemiological profile of snake-bite cases from Andhra Pradesh using immunoanalytical approach. Indian journal of medical research. 2007;125(5):661-8.
  15. Hmimou R, Soulaymani A, Mokhtari A, Arfaoui A, Eloufir G, Semlali I, et al. Risk factors caused by scorpion stings and envenomations in the province of Kelâa Des Sraghna (Morocco). Journal of Venomous Animals and Toxins including Tropical Diseases. 2008;14:628-40.
  16. Ebrahimi V, Hamdami E, Khademian M, Moemenbellah-Fard M, Vazirianzadeh B. Epidemiologic prediction of snake bites in tropical south Iran: Using seasonal time series methods. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health. 2018;6(4):208-15.
  17. Mulay D, Kulkarni V, Kulkarni S, Kulkarni N, Jaju R. Clinical profile of snakebites at SRTR Medical College Hospital, Ambajogai (Maharashtra). Indian Medical Gazette. 1986;131:363-6.
  18. Buranasin P. Snakebites at Maharat Nakhon Ratchasima Regional Hospital. Southeast Asian journal of tropical medicine and public health. 1993;24:186-.
  19. Leite RdS, Targino ITG, Lopes YACF, Barros RM, Vieira AA. Epidemiology of snakebite accidents in the municipalities of the state of Paraíba, Brazil. Ciencia & saude coletiva. 2013;18:1463-71.
  20. Daneshi N, Alizadeh-Barzian K, Parvin S, Jamshidi A, Alizadeh-Barzian M, Jamshidi M, et al. Epidemiological Aspect of Scorpion Sting in Behbahan, Iran, During 2007-2018. Comprehensive Health and Biomedical Studies. 2022;1(2):75-82.
  21. Tavares AV, Araújo KAMd, Marques MRdV, Vieira AA, Leite RdS. The epidemiology of snakebite in the Rio Grande do Norte state, Northeastern Brazil. Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo. 2017;59:e52.
  22. Hati A, Mandal M, De M, Mukherjee H, Hati R. Epidemiology of snake bite in the district of Burdwan, West Bengal. Journal of the Indian Medical Association. 1992;90(6):145-7.
  23. Ochola FO, Okumu MO, Muchemi GM, Mbaria JM, Gikunju JK. Epidemiology of snake bites in selected areas of Kenya. Pan African Medical Journal. 2018;29(1):1-14.
  24. Kassiri H, Khodkar I, Kazemi S, Kasiri N, Lotfi M. Epidemiological analysis of snakebite victims in southwestern Iran. Journal of Acute Disease. 2019;8(6):260-4.
  25. Zamani-Alavijeh F, Dehdari T, Angali KA, Rahdari MT, Azar-Abdar T, Hafez AA, et al. Investigation of temporal pattern of scorpion sting and snakebite incidence in patients referred to masjedsoleiman’s main hospital, during 24 months from 21 march 2008 to 20 march 2009;2014;1(4):190-7.
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 597
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 464


counter
سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. طراحی و پیاده سازی از سیناوب